{"id":10466,"date":"2019-09-30T14:01:52","date_gmt":"2019-09-30T17:01:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=10466"},"modified":"2024-06-25T10:49:42","modified_gmt":"2024-06-25T13:49:42","slug":"climate-change-scientific-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/tr\/iklim-degisikligi-bilimsel-veri\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin Bilimsel Verilerle A\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi hala tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 bir konu. Bazen bilimsel kan\u0131tlar, ki\u015fisel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler ve polemik konu\u015fmalar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u00f6n\u00fck kal\u0131yor. Biz her tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n toplum olarak zaten bildi\u011fimiz bilime dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yoruz. Bu nedenle, bu yaz\u0131da bilimsel makalelere, bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n r\u00f6portajlar\u0131na ve somut verilere y\u00f6nelik \u00e7ok say\u0131da ba\u011flant\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015f\u00fcphelerden herhangi birine sahipseniz, bilim size cevap vermek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor:<\/p>\n<h2><strong>01. Hava so\u011fuk. K\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmiyor.<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">K\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda kar ya\u011far. Bu ger\u00e7ek bazen k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmaya kar\u015f\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klama olarak da kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir ABD Senat\u00f6r\u00fc, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n bir yalan oldu\u011funu \"kan\u0131tlamak\" i\u00e7in Senato k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcne bir kartopu getirmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10476\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10476\" style=\"width: 590px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/technology\/2015\/03\/political-anti-science-a-week-of-nonsense.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-10476 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/50959594-1829-4fcc-8d0f-4fc6dbf3690f.jpg\" alt=\"50959594-1829-4fcc-8d0f-4fc6dbf3690f\" width=\"590\" height=\"414\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/50959594-1829-4fcc-8d0f-4fc6dbf3690f.jpg 590w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/50959594-1829-4fcc-8d0f-4fc6dbf3690f-300x211.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10476\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bir ABD Senat\u00f6r\u00fc k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n bir yalan oldu\u011funu \"kan\u0131tlamak\" i\u00e7in Senato k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcne bir kartopu getirdi.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Asl\u0131nda isim biraz kafa kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olabilir, ancak kar k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmaya kar\u015f\u0131 bir kan\u0131t DE\u011e\u0130LD\u0130R. Asl\u0131nda, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131cakl\u0131klar bir \u015feylerin de\u011fi\u015fti\u011finin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kan\u0131t\u0131d\u0131r. Yumu\u015fak s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131 kaybediyoruz. Gezegenin s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131llar i\u00e7inde nas\u0131l artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren pek \u00e7ok bilimsel veri var.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bunu anlamak i\u00e7in iklim ve hava durumu aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 bilmemiz gerekir. \u0130klim uzun vadeli bir ortalamad\u0131r, hava ise hafta sonu plaja gitmek istedi\u011fimizde kontrol etti\u011fimiz \u015feydir. Yani hava durumu ge\u00e7ici bir \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fir. K\u0131\u015f\u0131n kar g\u00f6rmeye devam ediyoruz. Ve k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n<p><center><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"\u0130klim ve Hava Durumu | K\u00fcresel Tuhafl\u0131k\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nnMJedLHjpY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><\/center><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buna g\u00f6re <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/thewashingtonpost\/five-myths-about-climate-change-b1aaa81a2c25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Washington Post<\/a>2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana, \u00e7ok daha fazla&nbsp;<a class=\"bs dd nm nn no np\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/capital-weather-gang\/wp\/2013\/06\/26\/warm-temperature-records-dramatically-outpacing-cold-records-in-washington-d-c\/?utm_term=.6fc95fec9167\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">yeni\u0307 sicaklik rekorlari<\/a>&nbsp;so\u011fuk olanlardan daha fazla. Asl\u0131nda, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda 10.000'den fazla&nbsp;<a class=\"bs dd nm nn no np\" href=\"http:\/\/www.guyonclimate.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">so\u011fuk s\u0131cakl\u0131k rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131<\/a>&nbsp;Birle\u015fik Devletler'deki meteoroloji istasyonlar\u0131nda. Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l 36.000'den fazla y\u00fcksek s\u0131cakl\u0131k rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10474\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10474\" style=\"width: 720px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-10474 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/1309_globaltemps_agency_comparison_2018.gif\" alt=\"iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi nasa\" width=\"720\" height=\"400\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10474\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">En son 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar olan s\u0131cakl\u0131k verileri son birka\u00e7 on y\u0131lda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u0131s\u0131nma oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. NASA verilerine g\u00f6re, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 1880'den bu yana en s\u0131cak y\u0131l oldu ve k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131klardaki uzun vadeli art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi devam etti. 139 y\u0131ll\u0131k kay\u0131tlardaki en s\u0131cak 10 y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131 2005 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olup, en s\u0131cak be\u015f y\u0131l en son be\u015f y\u0131ld\u0131r. Kredi: NASA D\u00fcnya G\u00f6zlemevi<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-019-0400-0.epdf?\">Nature dergisinde yay\u0131nlanan yeni makale<\/a>&nbsp;s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n 20. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131ndan bu yana son iki bin y\u0131l\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>02. \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00fczerindeki insan etkisi konusunda bilim insanlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda bir fikir birli\u011fi yoktur.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0130nk\u00e2rc\u0131lar iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi konusunda bilimsel bir uzla\u015f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi\u011finde, bir\u00e7ok insan insanlar\u0131n iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini nas\u0131l etkiledi\u011fi konusunda yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya bir b\u00f6l\u00fcnme oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. \"Her iki taraf\u0131n da kendi bilim adamlar\u0131 var\" gibi bir \u015fey. Ancak, bilim adamlar\u0131n\u0131n 99%'si k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmaya bizim neden oldu\u011fumuz konusunda hemfikirdir. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/science\/2019\/jul\/24\/scientific-consensus-on-humans-causing-global-warming-passes-99?CMP=twt_a-environment_b-gdneco\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Guardian<\/a> ve <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.nasa.gov\/scientific-consensus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NASA<\/a>. Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri'nde Amerikan Jeofizik Birli\u011fi'nden Amerikan T\u0131p Derne\u011fi'ne kadar en az 18 bilimsel topluluk iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi konusunda resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yay\u0131nlad\u0131. \u0130klim ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda bu soruya \u00e7oktan cevap verdik. Buna biz neden oluyoruz. \u015eimdi bir sonraki soruya ge\u00e7memiz gerekiyor; bunu durdurmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?<\/p>\n<h2><strong>03. Bu sadece ba\u015fka bir do\u011fal d\u00f6ng\u00fc. Daha \u00f6nce de oldu.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Evet, hepimiz Buz Devri'ni izledik. Ve biliyoruz ki D\u00fcnya gezegeni, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131cakl\u0131klar da dahil olmak \u00fczere \u00e7ok \u015fey ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f ya\u015fl\u0131 bir ruhtur. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, mevcut iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi do\u011fal bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 olabilir, de\u011fil mi? Biz sadece ba\u015fka bir d\u00f6ng\u00fcde ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Olabilir, ancak en yeni bilimsel verilerin g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi bu DE\u011e\u0130L.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Artan s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n olas\u0131 do\u011fal nedenlerine bakal\u0131m:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>G\u00fcne\u015f:<\/strong>&nbsp; G\u00fcne\u015ften gelen enerji&nbsp;<a class=\"bs dd nm nn no np\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gidiyordum.&nbsp;<\/a>Bu y\u00fczden e\u011fer g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisindeki de\u011fi\u015fiklikler s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 belirliyorsa, daha s\u0131cak de\u011fil daha so\u011fuk olmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi: <\/strong>Baz\u0131 insanlar gezegenin daha s\u0131cak oldu\u011funu \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc son Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131'ndan \u00e7\u0131kmakta oldu\u011fumuzu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ancak bu \u00e7a\u011flara neden olan \u015fey D\u00fcnya'n\u0131n y\u00f6r\u00fcnge d\u00f6ng\u00fcleridir. Ve gezegenimizin d\u00f6ng\u00fc takvimine g\u00f6re,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/ngeo1358\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Ba\u015fka bir Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131'na gitmemiz gerekiyor.<\/a>s\u0131cak bir tane de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Volkanizma:&nbsp;<\/strong>Volkanlar \u0131s\u0131y\u0131 hapseden gazlar \u00fcretirler, bu y\u00fczden s\u0131cakl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fiminden sorumlu olabilirler, de\u011fil mi? Asl\u0131nda, insanlar\u0131n \u00fcretti\u011fi CO2'nin 1%'sinden daha az\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcretirler. Ayr\u0131ca, b\u00fcy\u00fck patlamalar meydana geldiklerinde D\u00fcnya'y\u0131 \u0131s\u0131tmak yerine so\u011futurlar. Nature makalesinin ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-019-0402-y.epdf?referrer_access_token=NsmsvMEmWm6SoIVKCTcEt9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0MyBnoX34ZRaon0wmYjK2GXR3LOpEGlJAGIl2yZr9fKQYQkJni28mFZ38_k7tJ5vkJDciMdvmfN_MId2508iWfSpShftbeoK2cY-NpTXIO-SkgjBJJBVOz_OlG4EcQUBuq1YuGeTaVZ9zND91dE_ap7Om7rfyUcIwvYWGEqN12MEN2JrF6V_Tgkq14lTQX_Z0ft7W5TbcMDh8tS8823jWdGooSvS90xoQ30TVgF2fLu0sLNUZ7M5IdM_98hjl53eUZX85rxKMQv1pmpBc7Gl4RCqw_rtGdPCwNq9Mi_ECopCi6G4JUrqOk_73ejPNW6IGE%3D&amp;tracking_referrer=www.mindthegraph.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131'n\u0131n son evresi volkanik patlamalarla zorland\u0131<\/a>&nbsp;D\u00fcnyan\u0131n volkanik olarak so\u011fumu\u015f bir d\u00f6nemden 18. Y\u00fczy\u0131lda insan emisyonlar\u0131yla \u0131s\u0131nm\u0131\u015f bir iklime nas\u0131l ge\u00e7meye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klar.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/templates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-10475 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/greenhouse-image-1-1024x943.png\" alt=\"preview_88004-1024x943\" width=\"640\" height=\"589\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/greenhouse-image-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/greenhouse-image-1-300x276.png 300w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/greenhouse-image-1-768x707.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Asl\u0131nda, orada&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-019-1401-2.epdf?referrer_access_token=eSxmUpIl3PCVr9z9B-uQONRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0OFAuvUf3smNPgQh_x6w3tkX-JXRoLf0zBLgBVwxe-KoifRXttIDrQhrrp5_VtNZW2aWM2B673VXec5tmT2AV5TfK-obK6R4EwVqorcNs0p3XR7sKS4MgC2Am9TtwfB8mtEFAlGvQAa-_oYCqo5YZTToEiJ_j61ob5j4HErGyOxjp3TMClkhY2m8CgwnNLW_rl7ctGLlwyONosojhdTgsbGCetHala0Dvo4q1sGW3ZnY39t8ymDta83jcdsfVrY8KArjDUwZMxB5sEIc_Xud66eV_ok9lRGm6bTFM6plSLkDj3NSoXpOZdw8H_2uEOIov8%3D&amp;tracking_referrer=www.mindthegraph.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sanayi \u00f6ncesi Ortak \u00c7a\u011f boyunca k\u00fcresel olarak tutarl\u0131 s\u0131cak ve so\u011fuk d\u00f6nemlere ili\u015fkin kan\u0131t yok<\/a>. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, herhangi bir zamanda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131nda s\u0131cakl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimi ya\u015fanmazd\u0131. Ancak Sanayi Devrimi'nden sonra s\u0131cakl\u0131k k\u00fcresel olarak de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu makale nas\u0131l oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor&nbsp;<em>\"Mekansal-zamansal tutarl\u0131l\u0131ktaki bu eksiklik, end\u00fcstri \u00f6ncesi zorlaman\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 ve y\u00fcz y\u0131ll\u0131k zaman \u00f6l\u00e7eklerinde k\u00fcresel olarak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131cakl\u0131klar \u00fcretmek i\u00e7in yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, son iki bin y\u0131l\u0131n en s\u0131cak d\u00f6neminin, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 98%'sinden fazlas\u0131 i\u00e7in 2. y\u00fczy\u0131lda meydana geldi\u011fini bulduk. Bu durum, antropojenik k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n sadece mutlak s\u0131cakl\u0131klar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda son 2.000 y\u0131l ba\u011flam\u0131nda mekansal tutarl\u0131l\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da benzersiz oldu\u011funa dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kan\u0131tlar sunmaktad\u0131r.\"<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Toplumumuzu etkileyebilmeleri i\u00e7in bu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 iletmemiz gerekiyor. Bilimde ileti\u015fimi birlikte geli\u015ftirelim mi?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-6577\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/start_get-mind-the-graph-medical-illustrations.png\" alt=\"grafi\u0307\u011fe di\u0307kkat edi\u0307n bi\u0307li\u0307msel resi\u0307mler\" width=\"200\" height=\"65\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/start_get-mind-the-graph-medical-illustrations.png 310w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/start_get-mind-the-graph-medical-illustrations-300x97.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi hala tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 bir konu. Bazen bilimsel kan\u0131tlar, ki\u015fisel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler ve polemik konu\u015fmalar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u00f6n\u00fck kal\u0131yor. Biz her tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n toplum olarak zaten bildi\u011fimiz bilime dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yoruz. Bu nedenle, bu yaz\u0131da bilimsel makalelere, bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n r\u00f6portajlar\u0131na ve somut verilere y\u00f6nelik \u00e7ok say\u0131da ba\u011flant\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. E\u011fer herhangi bir [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":10478,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":[],"categories":[959,28],"tags":[219,161,554,250,218,775],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Demystifying Climate Change Through Scientific Data - Mind the Graph Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Climate change is still a controversial subject. 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