{"id":11022,"date":"2020-03-23T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-23T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11022"},"modified":"2022-11-24T12:29:07","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T15:29:07","slug":"the-impact-of-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sv_se\/effekterna-av-coronaviruset-covid-19-pandemy\/","title":{"rendered":"Social isolering kan minska effekterna av covid-19-pandemin"},"content":{"rendered":"

Att h\u00e5lla ett visst avst\u00e5nd \u00e4r den b\u00e4sta \u00e5tg\u00e4rden man kan vidta f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rhindra virus\u00f6verf\u00f6ring via andningsv\u00e4garna.<\/p>\n

M\u00e4nniskor \u00f6verf\u00f6r till andra m\u00e4nniskor n\u00e4r de pratar, snyter sig i n\u00e4san, nyser eller skakar hand. Vissa s\u00e4ger att tv\u00e5 meter (2m) \u00e4r det avst\u00e5nd som vi b\u00f6r h\u00e5lla andra p\u00e5 avst\u00e5nd fr\u00e5n som en f\u00f6rebyggande \u00e5tg\u00e4rd.<\/p>\n

Bilden nedan var publicerad i New York Times, med bearbetning av uppgifter fr\u00e5n Center for Disease Control (CDC)<\/a> fr\u00e5n F\u00f6renta staterna. Enkelt uttryckt visar det hur skydds\u00e5tg\u00e4rder, som social isolering och b\u00e4rande av mask, kan \"platta till\" kurvan och d\u00e4rf\u00f6r teoretiskt sett h\u00e4mma \"toppen\" i antalet fall.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Trots att det totala antalet fall \u00e4r exakt detsamma inneb\u00e4r en utplaning av kurvan att sjukv\u00e5rdssystemet inte kommer att \u00f6verbelastas och att chansen att bota infekterade personer som f\u00e5r l\u00e4mpligt st\u00f6d p\u00e5 en intensivv\u00e5rdsavdelning \u00e4r st\u00f6rre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det spelar ingen roll hur f\u00f6rberett ett land \u00e4r n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller antalet s\u00e4ngar, ingen \u00e4r f\u00f6rberedd p\u00e5 en epidemi som denna. I grund och botten har det aldrig h\u00e4nt. Och det v\u00e4rsta i fallet med coronaviruset Covid-19 \u00e4r att \u00e4ven personer utan symtom kan \u00f6verf\u00f6ra smittan<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C.D.C. papper med titeln \"Riktlinjer f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rebygga pandemisk influensa<\/a>,\" visade vad Dr. Harris kallade tv\u00e5 epi-kurvor. Den ena hade en brant topp som indikerade ett kraftigt utbrott av coronavirus p\u00e5 kort sikt; den andra hade en flackare lutning, vilket indikerade en mer gradvis infektionshastighet under en l\u00e4ngre tidsperiod.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den mjukare kurvan leder till att f\u00e4rre m\u00e4nniskor smittas vid denna kritiska tidpunkt - vilket f\u00f6rhindrar en \u00f6kning som skulle \u00f6versv\u00e4mma sjukv\u00e5rdssystemet och i slut\u00e4ndan, hoppas man, leder till f\u00e4rre d\u00f6dsfall. F\u00f6r en mer detaljerad analys, se en nyligen publicerad artikel i The Lancet<\/a>, \"Hur kommer landsbaserade begr\u00e4nsnings\u00e5tg\u00e4rder att p\u00e5verka COVID-19-epidemins f\u00f6rlopp?\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det s\u00e4tt p\u00e5 vilket fenomenet sprider sig utmanar v\u00e5r f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga att f\u00f6rutse n\u00e4sta steg, eftersom vi inte \u00e4r vana vid exponentiellt t\u00e4nkande. Infografiken nedan hj\u00e4lper oss att f\u00f6rst\u00e5 vad det inneb\u00e4r att h\u00e5lla sig borta fr\u00e5n andra m\u00e4nniskor under en l\u00e4ngre tid. Denna \u00e5tg\u00e4rd syftar till att minska virusets \"\u00f6verf\u00f6ringsindex\" fr\u00e5n n\u00e4stan \"tre\" till mindre \u00e4n ett. Kolla bilden nedan f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rst\u00e5 vilken effekt det har p\u00e5 5 dagar och 30 dagar.<\/p>\n\n\n

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L\u00e4r dig att f\u00f6rest\u00e4lla dig exponentiell utveckling av coronavirusets f\u00f6rlopp och hur social isolering kan bidra till att minska sjukdoms\u00f6verf\u00f6ringen. Mer \u00e4n s\u00e5, stanna hemma, familj och n\u00e4ra v\u00e4nner anses vara en av de viktigaste klustren f\u00f6r kontaminering<\/a> bortsett fr\u00e5n h\u00e4lsov\u00e5rdstj\u00e4nster och sjukhus.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Om coronavirusets virus\u00f6verf\u00f6ring f\u00f6ljer sitt naturliga f\u00f6rlopp kommer en person p\u00e5 fem dagar sannolikt att \u00f6verf\u00f6ra covid-19 till 2,5 andra personer. Fram\u00f6ver kommer samma 2,5 personer att ha p\u00e5verkat totalt 406 personer. Det \u00e4r exponentiell utveckling. Det \u00e4r enormt. Om vi halverar \u00f6verf\u00f6ringshastigheten inneb\u00e4r det att endast 15 personer p\u00e5verkas efter 30 dagar. Det kr\u00e4vs inte mycket f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rst\u00e5 vilken positiv inverkan detta har p\u00e5 trycket p\u00e5 h\u00e4lso- och sjukv\u00e5rdssystemet.<\/p>\n

Om du vill l\u00e4sa en mycket detaljerad f\u00f6rklaring om hur denna typ av \u00e5tg\u00e4rd fungerar och varf\u00f6r den p\u00e5verkar, Vi rekommenderar att du l\u00e4ser detta inl\u00e4gg<\/a>. Om du \u00e4r orolig f\u00f6r att social isolering kan drabba vissa m\u00e4nniskor som inte \u00e4r k\u00e4nslom\u00e4ssigt stabila eller har tidigare h\u00e4lsoproblem, s\u00e5 har du ocks\u00e5 r\u00e4tt enligt detta intressanta debattinl\u00e4gg om vetenskap<\/a>. Det \u00e4r lite av ett dilemma, men social isolering \u00e4r n\u00e5got som vi definitivt b\u00f6r g\u00f6ra just nu. Det b\u00e4sta tipset \u00e4r att hitta p\u00e5 n\u00e5got att g\u00f6ra, distrahera dig sj\u00e4lv och f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka h\u00e5lla kontakten med dina f\u00f6r\u00e4ldrar.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trots att det totala antalet fall \u00e4r exakt detsamma inneb\u00e4r en utplaning av kurvan att sjukv\u00e5rdssystemet inte kommer att \u00f6verbelastas och att chansen att bota infekterade individer som f\u00e5r l\u00e4mpligt st\u00f6d p\u00e5 en intensivv\u00e5rdsavdelning \u00e4r st\u00f6rre. Det spelar ingen roll hur v\u00e4l f\u00f6rberett ett land \u00e4r n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller antalet s\u00e4ngar, [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419,66,958],"tags":[388,387,423,421,422,51,53,250,424,420],"yoast_head":"\nThe power of social isolation in reducing impact of Covid-19<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Keep some distance is the best measure one can take to prevent viral transmission through the respiratory pathways.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sv_se\/effekterna-av-coronaviruset-covid-19-pandemy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The power 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