{"id":11022,"date":"2020-03-23T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-23T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11022"},"modified":"2022-11-24T12:29:07","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T15:29:07","slug":"the-impact-of-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sl\/vpliv-koronavirusov-covid-19-pandemy\/","title":{"rendered":"Mo\u010d socialne izolacije za zmanj\u0161anje vpliva koronavirusov Covid-19 pandemy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Najbolj\u0161i ukrep za prepre\u010devanje prenosa virusov po dihalnih poteh je ohranjanje razdalje.<\/p>\n

Ljudje se prena\u0161ajo na druge ljudi med govorjenjem, vohljanjem nosu, kihanjem ali stiskanjem rok. Nekateri pravijo, da sta dva metra (2 m) razdalja, na kateri bi se morali preventivno oddaljiti od drugih.<\/p>\n

Spodnja slika je bila objavljeno v \u010dasopisu New York Times, ki prilagaja podatke Centra za nadzor bolezni (CDC)<\/a> iz Zdru\u017eenih dr\u017eav Amerike. Preprosto povedano, ka\u017ee, kako lahko za\u0161\u010ditni ukrepi, kot sta socialna izolacija in no\u0161enje mask, \"izravnajo\" krivuljo in tako teoreti\u010dno zavrejo \"vrh\" \u0161tevila primerov.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u010ceprav je skupno \u0161tevilo primerov popolnoma enako, izravnava krivulje pomeni, da zdravstveni sistem ne bo preobremenjen in da je mo\u017enost ozdravitve oku\u017eenih posameznikov ob ustrezni podpori v enoti za intenzivno nego ve\u010dja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ne glede na to, kako pripravljena je dr\u017eava glede \u0161tevila postelj, nih\u010de ni pripravljen na epidemijo, kot je ta. V bistvu se ni zgodila. Najhuje pri koronavirusu Covid-19 pa je, da prena\u0161ajo jo lahko tudi ljudje brez simptomov.<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C.D.C. dokument z naslovom \"Smernice Skupnosti za ubla\u017eitev posledic za prepre\u010devanje pandemske gripe<\/a>,\" je pokazal, kar je Dr. Harris imenoval dve krivulji epi. Ena je imela strm vrh, ki je kazal na nenaden izbruh koronavirusov v bli\u017enji prihodnosti, druga pa je imela polo\u017enej\u0161i naklon, ki je kazal na bolj postopno stopnjo oku\u017ebe v dalj\u0161em \u010dasovnem obdobju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bla\u017eja krivulja povzro\u010di, da se v tem kriti\u010dnem trenutku oku\u017ei manj ljudi, kar prepre\u010di val, ki bi preplavil zdravstveni sistem, in upamo, da bo na koncu povzro\u010dil manj smrti. Za podrobnej\u0161o analizo si oglejte nedavno objavljen \u010dlanek v reviji The Lancet.<\/a>, \"Kako bodo bla\u017eilni ukrepi v posameznih dr\u017eavah vplivali na potek epidemije COVID-19?\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na\u010din \u0161irjenja tega pojava je izziv za na\u0161o sposobnost predvidevanja naslednjih korakov, saj nismo vajeni eksponentnega razmi\u0161ljanja. Spodnja infografika nam pomaga razumeti, kaj pomeni, da se za nekaj \u010dasa izognemo drugim ljudem. Namen tega ukrepa je zmanj\u0161ati \"indeks prenosa\" virusa s skoraj \"tri\" na manj kot eno. Preverite spodnjo sliko, da bi razumeli u\u010dinek prenosa, ki ga ima v 5 dneh in 30 dneh.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Nau\u010dite se, kako si predstavljati eksponentno napredovanje koronavirusov in kako lahko socialna izolacija pomaga zmanj\u0161ati prenos bolezni. \u0160e ve\u010d, ostanite doma, dru\u017eina in bli\u017enji prijatelji veljajo za eno najpomembnej\u0161ih skupin za onesna\u017eenje.<\/a> poleg zdravstvenih storitev in bolni\u0161nic.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u010ce prenos koronavirusov poteka po naravni poti, bo ena oseba v petih dneh verjetno prenesla Covid-19 na 2,5 druge osebe. V nadaljevanju bo ta ista 2,5 osebe vplivala na skupno 406 ljudi. To je eksponentno napredovanje. To je ogromno. \u010ce hitrost prenosa zmanj\u0161amo na polovico, to pomeni, da bo po 30 dneh prizadetih le 15 ljudi. Ni treba veliko, da bi razumeli, kako pozitiven vpliv ima to na pritisk na zdravstveni sistem.<\/p>\n

\u010ce \u017eelite prebrati zelo podrobno razlago o tem, kako ta vrsta ukrepa deluje in zakaj vpliva, priporo\u010damo, da preberete to objavo<\/a>. \u010ce vas skrbi, da lahko socialna izolacija vpliva na nekatere ljudi, ki niso \u010dustveno stabilni ali imajo predhodne zdravstvene te\u017eave, imate prav. v skladu s tem zanimivim mnenjskim dokumentom na portalu Science<\/a>. Gre za dilemo \"koko\u0161 ali jajce\", vendar je socialna izolacija nekaj, kar bi morali v tem \u010dasu zagotovo storiti. Najbolj\u0161i nasvet je, da si poi\u0161\u010dete nekaj za po\u010deti, se raztresete in posku\u0161ate ohraniti stike s svojci.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010ceprav je skupno \u0161tevilo primerov popolnoma enako, izravnava krivulje pomeni, da zdravstveni sistem ne bo preobremenjen in da je mo\u017enost ozdravitve oku\u017eenih posameznikov ob ustrezni podpori v enoti za intenzivno nego ve\u010dja. Ni pomembno, kako pripravljena je dr\u017eava glede \u0161tevila postelj, [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419,66,958],"tags":[388,387,423,421,422,51,53,250,424,420],"yoast_head":"\nThe power of social isolation in reducing impact of Covid-19<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Keep some distance is the best measure one can take to prevent viral transmission through the respiratory pathways.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sl\/vpliv-koronavirusov-covid-19-pandemy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sl_SI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The power of social isolation in reducing impact of 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