{"id":11109,"date":"2020-04-08T08:35:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-08T11:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11109"},"modified":"2022-07-21T12:23:18","modified_gmt":"2022-07-21T15:23:18","slug":"coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/koronavirusova-smrtelnost-je-umrtnost-8-alebo-0-8-v-obci\/","title":{"rendered":"Smrte\u013enos\u0165 koronav\u00edrusov: je miera \u00famrtnosti 8 alebo 0,8% v Taliansku?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u010c\u00edsla o letalite koronav\u00edrusov sa dramaticky l\u00ed\u0161ia. Zatia\u013e \u010do v Taliansku \u00farady uv\u00e1dzaj\u00fa \u00famrtnos\u0165 okolo 8-9%, Nemecko a Japonsko uv\u00e1dzaj\u00fa \u010d\u00edsla bli\u017e\u0161ie k 1-2%.<\/p>\n<p>Pre\u010do sa to deje?<\/p>\n<p>Dne\u0161n\u00e1 spr\u00e1va uv\u00e1dza, \u017ee na 64 tis\u00edc potvrden\u00fdch pr\u00edpadov infekcie koronav\u00edrusom pripad\u00e1 nie\u010do vy\u0161e 6 tis\u00edc \u00famrt\u00ed. To je miera \u00famrtnosti 9,3%. Pomerne vysok\u00e1, znepokojuj\u00faca hodnota.<\/p>\n<p>Japonsko v\u0161ak hl\u00e1silo 33 \u00famrt\u00ed z ~ 1 000 pr\u00edpadov (3,3% \u00famrtnos\u0165) a Nemecko hl\u00e1silo len 159 \u00famrt\u00ed v takmer 34 000 potvrden\u00fdch pr\u00edpadoch... po\u010dkajte, to je len 0,5% \u00famrtnos\u0165.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"721\" height=\"595\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11112\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254.png 721w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254-300x248.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\" \/><figcaption>\u0160es\u0165kr\u00e1t ni\u017e\u0161ia ako v Japonsku a takmer 20-kr\u00e1t ni\u017e\u0161ia ako v Taliansku. \u010co rob\u00ed Nemecko inak?<br> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p> U\u017e m\u00e1m svoj n\u00e1zor, ale po\u010fme sa venova\u0165 v\u0161etk\u00fdm dostupn\u00fdm te\u00f3ri\u00e1m:<br> &nbsp;1) Najzrejmej\u0161ie: zdravotn\u00fd syst\u00e9m v Nemecku je lep\u0161ie vybaven\u00fd<br> 2) Nemci pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa inovat\u00edvne lie\u010debn\u00e9 postupy<br> 3) Nemecko je st\u00e1le na za\u010diatku epid\u00e9mie, tak\u017ee nebolo \"dos\u0165 \u010dasu\" na stabiliz\u00e1ciu \u00famrtnosti<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A menej zrejm\u00e9: jednoducho testuj\u00fa viac \u013eud\u00ed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ak\u00fd m\u00e1 vplyv? Najmenej desa\u0165kr\u00e1t. Testuje sa desa\u0165kr\u00e1t viac \u013eud\u00ed, a pr\u00e1ve to zni\u017euje \u00famrtnos\u0165, teda v skuto\u010dnosti:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Miera infekcie je pravdepodobne 10-kr\u00e1t ni\u017e\u0161ia<\/li><li>\u00damrtnos\u0165 je pravdepodobne 10-kr\u00e1t ni\u017e\u0161ia<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Jednoducho nem\u00e1me presn\u00fd odhad celkov\u00e9ho po\u010dtu postihnut\u00fdch os\u00f4b, preto\u017ee u mnoh\u00fdch z nich sa pr\u00edznaky nerozvin\u00fa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Najjednoduch\u0161ie vysvetlenie je \u010dasto to spr\u00e1vne. Vo vede sa to naz\u00fdva Okamova britva... a to je pomerne jednoduch\u00e9 vysvetlenie tohto rozporu v \u010d\u00edslach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aj toto \u010d\u00edslo je bli\u017e\u0161ie k \"vn\u00edmaniu\" zdravotn\u00edckych pracovn\u00edkov v prvej l\u00ednii. Pomerne m\u00e1lo \u013eud\u00ed zomiera na koronav\u00edrusov\u00fa infekciu - teda nie tak\u00fa z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fa - av\u0161ak \u010d\u00edsla s\u00fa vysok\u00e9, preto\u017ee viralita je vy\u0161\u0161ia, ne\u017e na ak\u00fa sme zvyknut\u00ed pri respira\u010dn\u00fdch ochoreniach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"494\" height=\"453\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255.png 494w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255-300x275.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 494px) 100vw, 494px\" \/><figcaption>Nemci v skuto\u010dnosti akt\u00edvne testuj\u00fa \u013eud\u00ed, aj ke\u010f nemaj\u00fa \u017eiadne pr\u00edznaky. To je jedin\u00fd sp\u00f4sob, ako z\u00edska\u0165 presn\u00fd odhad miery n\u00e1kazy v popul\u00e1cii.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ak by som mal poveda\u0165 jednu vetu, tak by znela: nepanik\u00e1rte.  Tieto \u010dasy sa skon\u010dili.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sna\u017ete sa predch\u00e1dza\u0165 infekci\u00e1m, um\u00fdvajte si ruky, udr\u017eiavajte imunitn\u00fd syst\u00e9m dobre nastaven\u00fd a to je v\u0161etko. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pravdepodobnos\u0165 smrte\u013enej pr\u00ed\u010diny je n\u00edzka, ak je k dispoz\u00edcii adekv\u00e1tna kritick\u00e1 starostlivos\u0165. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prebieha lie\u010dba, na bud\u00faci rok budeme ma\u0165 vakc\u00edny a cel\u00e1 t\u00e1to vec pominie. Stav\u00edm sa, \u017ee do va\u0161ich \u010fal\u0161\u00edch naroden\u00edn nebude infekcia koronav\u00edrusom trendovou t\u00e9mou.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U\u017e m\u00e1m svoj n\u00e1zor, ale po\u010fme sa venova\u0165 v\u0161etk\u00fdm dostupn\u00fdm te\u00f3ri\u00e1m:  Nemecko je st\u00e1le na za\u010diatku epid\u00e9mie, tak\u017ee nebolo \"dos\u0165 \u010dasu\" na stabiliz\u00e1ciu \u00famrtnosti A [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11111,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419],"tags":[388,444,443,445,447,446,448,449],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? 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He has a Ph.D. and solid scientific background in Psychopharmacology and experience as a Guest Researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Psychiatry (Germany) and Researcher in D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR, Brazil). Fabricio holds over 2500 citations in Google Scholar. He has 10 years of experience in small innovative businesses, with relevant experience in product design and innovation management. Connect with him on LinkedIn - Fabricio Pamplona.","sameAs":["http:\/\/mindthegraph.com","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/fabriciopamplona"],"url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/author\/fabricio\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11109"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11109"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11109\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16036,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11109\/revisions\/16036"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11111"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}