{"id":11022,"date":"2020-03-23T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-23T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11022"},"modified":"2022-11-24T12:29:07","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T15:29:07","slug":"the-impact-of-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/vplyv-koronavirusu-covid-19-pandemy\/","title":{"rendered":"Sila soci\u00e1lnej izol\u00e1cie na zn\u00ed\u017eenie vplyvu koronav\u00edrusu Covid-19 pandemy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Udr\u017eiava\u0165 ur\u010dit\u00fd odstup je najlep\u0161\u00edm opatren\u00edm, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eete prija\u0165, aby ste zabr\u00e1nili prenosu v\u00edrusov d\u00fdchac\u00edmi cestami.<\/p>\n

\u013dudia sa pren\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa na in\u00fdch \u013eud\u00ed po\u010das rozpr\u00e1vania, smrkania, k\u00fdchania alebo pod\u00e1vania r\u00fak. Niektor\u00ed tvrdia, \u017ee dva metre (2 m) je vzdialenos\u0165, na ktor\u00fa by sme sa mali od ostatn\u00fdch prevent\u00edvne vzdiali\u0165.<\/p>\n

Ni\u017e\u0161ie uveden\u00fd obr\u00e1zok bol uverejnen\u00e9 v New York Times, ktor\u00e9 upravuje \u00fadaje z Centra pre kontrolu chor\u00f4b (CDC)<\/a> zo Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov. Jednoducho povedan\u00e9, ukazuje to, ako ochrann\u00e9 opatrenia, ako je soci\u00e1lna izol\u00e1cia a nosenie masiek, m\u00f4\u017eu \"splo\u0161ti\u0165\" krivku, a teda teoreticky brzdi\u0165 \"vrchol\" po\u010dtu pr\u00edpadov.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Napriek tomu, \u017ee celkov\u00fd po\u010det pr\u00edpadov je \u00faplne rovnak\u00fd, vyrovnanie krivky znamen\u00e1, \u017ee syst\u00e9m zdravotnej starostlivosti nebude pre\u0165a\u017een\u00fd a \u0161anca na vylie\u010denie infikovan\u00fdch os\u00f4b pri poskytnut\u00ed primeranej podpory na jednotke intenz\u00edvnej starostlivosti je vy\u0161\u0161ia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, ako je krajina pripraven\u00e1 z h\u013eadiska po\u010dtu l\u00f4\u017eok, nikto nie je pripraven\u00fd na epid\u00e9miu, ako je t\u00e1to. V podstate sa to nestalo. A najhor\u0161ie na pr\u00edpade koronav\u00edrusu Covid-19 je, \u017ee m\u00f4\u017eu ju pren\u00e1\u0161a\u0165 aj \u013eudia bez pr\u00edznakov.<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dokument C.D.C. s n\u00e1zvom \"Usmernenia Spolo\u010denstva na zmiernenie n\u00e1sledkov pand\u00e9mie chr\u00edpky<\/a>,\" uk\u00e1zal to, \u010do Dr. Harris nazval dvoma epi krivkami. Jedna mala strm\u00fd vrchol, ktor\u00fd nazna\u010doval prudk\u00fd n\u00e1rast v\u00fdskytu koronav\u00edrusu v najbli\u017e\u0161om obdob\u00ed; druh\u00e1 mala plochej\u0161\u00ed sklon, ktor\u00fd nazna\u010doval postupnej\u0161iu mieru n\u00e1kazy v dlh\u0161om \u010dasovom obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miernej\u0161ia krivka vedie k tomu, \u017ee v tomto kritickom \u010dase sa nakaz\u00ed menej \u013eud\u00ed, \u010d\u00edm sa zabr\u00e1ni n\u00e1rastu, ktor\u00fd by zaplavil syst\u00e9m zdravotnej starostlivosti, a v kone\u010dnom d\u00f4sledku, ako d\u00fafame, sa zn\u00ed\u017ei po\u010det \u00famrt\u00ed. Podrobnej\u0161iu anal\u00fdzu n\u00e1jdete v ned\u00e1vnom \u010dl\u00e1nku v \u010dasopise The Lancet<\/a>, \"Ako ovplyvnia zmier\u0148uj\u00face opatrenia v jednotliv\u00fdch krajin\u00e1ch priebeh epid\u00e9mie COVID-19?\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sp\u00f4sob, ak\u00fdm sa tento jav \u0161\u00edri, spochyb\u0148uje na\u0161u schopnos\u0165 predv\u00edda\u0165 \u010fal\u0161ie kroky, preto\u017ee nie sme zvyknut\u00ed na exponenci\u00e1lne myslenie. Ni\u017e\u0161ie uveden\u00e1 infografika n\u00e1m pom\u00f4\u017ee pochopi\u0165, \u010do to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee sa na ur\u010dit\u00fd \u010das od ostatn\u00fdch \u013eud\u00ed vzdiali. Z\u00e1merom tohto opatrenia je zn\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 \"index prenosu\" v\u00edrusu z takmer \"trojky\" na menej ako jednotku. Pozrite si obr\u00e1zok ni\u017e\u0161ie, aby ste pochopili, ak\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinok m\u00e1 prenos za 5 dn\u00ed a 30 dn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Zistite, ako si predstavi\u0165 exponenci\u00e1lny postup koronav\u00edrusu a ako m\u00f4\u017ee soci\u00e1lna izol\u00e1cia pom\u00f4c\u0165 zn\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 prenos choroby. Viac ako to, zosta\u0148te doma, rodina a bl\u00edzki priatelia sa pova\u017euj\u00fa za jedno z najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161\u00edch zoskupen\u00ed pre kontamin\u00e1ciu<\/a> okrem zdravotn\u00edckych slu\u017eieb a nemocn\u00edc.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Ak prenos v\u00edrusu koronav\u00edrusu prebieha prirodzen\u00fdm sp\u00f4sobom, za 5 dn\u00ed jedna osoba pravdepodobne prenesie Covid-19 na 2,5 \u010fal\u0161\u00edch os\u00f4b. V \u010fal\u0161om priebehu bude ma\u0165 t\u00fdch ist\u00fdch 2,5 osoby vplyv na celkovo 406 \u013eud\u00ed. To je exponenci\u00e1lny v\u00fdvoj. Je to obrovsk\u00e9. Ak zn\u00ed\u017eime mieru prenosu na polovicu, znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee po 30 d\u0148och bude ovplyvnen\u00fdch len 15 \u013eud\u00ed. Netreba ve\u013ea, aby sme pochopili, ak\u00fd pozit\u00edvny vplyv to m\u00e1 na tlak na zdravotn\u00fd syst\u00e9m.<\/p>\n

Ak si chcete pre\u010d\u00edta\u0165 ve\u013emi podrobn\u00e9 vysvetlenie o tom, ako tento typ opatrenia funguje a pre\u010do m\u00e1 vplyv, odpor\u00fa\u010dame pre\u010d\u00edta\u0165 si tento pr\u00edspevok<\/a>. Ak sa ob\u00e1vate, \u017ee soci\u00e1lna izol\u00e1cia m\u00f4\u017ee ovplyvni\u0165 niektor\u00fdch \u013eud\u00ed, ktor\u00ed nie s\u00fa emocion\u00e1lne stabiln\u00ed alebo maj\u00fa predch\u00e1dzaj\u00face zdravotn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, m\u00e1te tie\u017e pravdu. pod\u013ea tohto zauj\u00edmav\u00e9ho \u010dl\u00e1nku na port\u00e1li Science<\/a>. Je to trochu dilema typu \"sliepka alebo vajce\", ale soci\u00e1lna izol\u00e1cia je nie\u010do, \u010do by sme mali v tomto \u010dase ur\u010dite urobi\u0165. Najlep\u0161ou radou je n\u00e1js\u0165 si nejak\u00fa \u010dinnos\u0165, rozpt\u00fdli\u0165 sa a pok\u00fasi\u0165 sa udr\u017ea\u0165 si kontakt s rodi\u010dmi.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Napriek tomu, \u017ee celkov\u00fd po\u010det pr\u00edpadov je \u00faplne rovnak\u00fd, vyrovnanie krivky znamen\u00e1, \u017ee syst\u00e9m zdravotnej starostlivosti nebude pre\u0165a\u017een\u00fd a \u0161anca na vylie\u010denie infikovan\u00fdch os\u00f4b pri poskytnut\u00ed primeranej podpory na jednotke intenz\u00edvnej starostlivosti je vy\u0161\u0161ia. Nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, ako je krajina pripraven\u00e1 z h\u013eadiska po\u010dtu l\u00f4\u017eok, ale na tom, ako je pripraven\u00e1 z h\u013eadiska [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419,66,958],"tags":[388,387,423,421,422,51,53,250,424,420],"yoast_head":"\nThe power of social isolation in reducing impact of Covid-19<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Keep some distance is the best measure one can take to prevent viral transmission through the respiratory pathways.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/sk\/vplyv-koronavirusu-covid-19-pandemy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sk_SK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta 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