{"id":28571,"date":"2023-07-11T14:22:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-11T17:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/psychedelic-medicine-copy\/"},"modified":"2023-07-11T17:29:51","modified_gmt":"2023-07-11T20:29:51","slug":"scientific-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/stiintific-predictie\/","title":{"rendered":"Predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103: O \"presupunere\" care ne poate economisi mult timp"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0218tiin\u021ba se bazeaz\u0103 pe logic\u0103 \u0219i rezultate. At\u00e2ta timp c\u00e2t vede\u021bi rezultatul pentru un anumit fenomen, acesta nu va fi considerat valid. Dar, este un proces care necesit\u0103 mult timp \u0219i trebuie s\u0103 se a\u0219tepte luni de zile pentru a ob\u021bine rezultatul dorit, iar \u00een aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103 de a\u0219teptare se pot \u00eent\u00e2mpla multe lucruri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce-ar fi dac\u0103, \u00een domeniul \u00een care doar rezultatele conteaz\u0103, s-ar face presupuneri predictive pentru a ob\u021bine rezultate mult mai rapid? Acum, acest lucru ar putea p\u0103rea ilegitim, dar de fapt este destul de obi\u0219nuit. Iar acest lucru se nume\u0219te predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103<\/strong>. Dup\u0103 cum sugereaz\u0103 \u0219i numele, aici predic\u021biile sunt f\u0103cute pentru a termina rapid cu cercetarea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00cen acest articol, vom afla mai multe despre acest subiect curios, oferind \u00een acela\u0219i timp r\u0103spunsuri la \u00eentreb\u0103ri precum: cum ajut\u0103 predic\u021bia \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 s\u0103 economiseasc\u0103 tone de timp. Este cu adev\u0103rat valabil\u0103? Va fi demn\u0103 de \u00eencredere? \u0219i multe altele.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce se \u00een\u021belege prin predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

O afirma\u021bie sau o ipotez\u0103 referitoare la un proces natural sau la un eveniment care se anticipeaz\u0103 c\u0103 se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u00een viitor pe baza teoriilor \u0219tiin\u021bifice \u0219i a observa\u021biilor anterioare este denumit\u0103 predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103. Este o deduc\u021bie logic\u0103 bazat\u0103 pe teorii utilizate \u00een mod obi\u0219nuit \u0219i pe date empirice care pot fi validate prin cercet\u0103ri suplimentare sau observa\u021bii atente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00cen termeni simpli, prezicerea unui anumit eveniment care se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u00een viitor cu un set predefinit de evenimente care au avut loc \u00een trecut se nume\u0219te predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103. Realizarea de predic\u021bii \u0219tiin\u021bifice poate contribui la aprofundarea \u00een\u021belegerii naturii \u0219i ne ajut\u0103 s\u0103 lu\u0103m decizii rezonabile bazate pe fapte. O predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 ar trebui s\u0103 fie sus\u021binut\u0103, de obicei, de un ra\u021bionament logic, de teorii stabilite \u0219i de date empirice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Este Ipoteza acela\u0219i lucru cu Predic\u021bia?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u00cen ciuda faptului c\u0103 sunt str\u00e2ns legate, o ipotez\u0103 \u0219i o predic\u021bie nu sunt acela\u0219i lucru. O ipotez\u0103 este o explica\u021bie sau o solu\u021bie plauzibil\u0103 la o observa\u021bie sau o \u00eentrebare \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103, care se bazeaz\u0103 pe presupuneri sau cuno\u0219tin\u021be anterioare. Este o b\u0103nuial\u0103 care trebuie verificat\u0103 sau infirmat\u0103 prin cercet\u0103ri \u0219i experimente suplimentare. Pe de alt\u0103 parte, o predic\u021bie este o afirma\u021bie sau un rezultat specific care se anticipeaz\u0103 c\u0103 se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u00een viitor, pe baza ipotezei \u0219i a informa\u021biilor disponibile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O predic\u021bie este, \u00een esen\u021b\u0103, o consecin\u021b\u0103 testabil\u0103 a unei ipoteze. Prin urmare, mai \u00eent\u00e2i apare o ipotez\u0103, urmat\u0103 de predic\u021bia care deriv\u0103 din aceasta, iar predic\u021bia este apoi testat\u0103 prin experimentare sau observa\u021bie pentru a confirma sau infirma ipoteza. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cum se formuleaz\u0103 o predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nu este u\u0219or s\u0103 formulezi o predic\u021bie \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103, deoarece necesit\u0103 o \u00een\u021belegere aprofundat\u0103 a subiectului \u0219i a mediului \u00een care se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103, deoarece o presupunere gre\u0219it\u0103 ar putea costa multe vie\u021bi. A\u0219adar, iat\u0103 c\u00e2\u021biva pa\u0219i care v-ar putea ajuta s\u0103 \u00een\u021belege\u021bi predic\u021bia \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 \u0219i cum s\u0103 formula\u021bi una:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. Determina\u021bi fenomenul<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Pentru \u00eenceput, decide\u021bi ce sistem sau fenomen natural dori\u021bi s\u0103 prezice\u021bi. Observa\u021biile dumneavoastr\u0103, cuno\u0219tin\u021bele anterioare sau literatura \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 pot constitui baza pentru acest lucru. Asigura\u021bi-v\u0103 c\u0103 fenomenele selectate sunt punctul dumneavoastr\u0103 forte \u0219i \u00eencepe\u021bi s\u0103 elabora\u021bi o ipotez\u0103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    1.  Dezvoltarea ipotezei<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      Elabora\u021bi o ipotez\u0103 verificabil\u0103 care s\u0103 explice cum sau de ce apare fenomenul pe baza \u00een\u021belegerii pe care o ave\u021bi despre acesta. Ipoteza dvs. trebuie s\u0103 fie specific\u0103, m\u0103surabil\u0103 \u0219i trebuie s\u0103 se bazeze pe principii \u0219tiin\u021bifice \u0219i pe cuno\u0219tin\u021bele anterioare. Pute\u021bi cere ajutorul predecesorilor dvs. pentru a termina cu exactitate acest lucru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      1.  Face\u021bi o predic\u021bie<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

        Pornind de la ipoteza dumneavoastr\u0103, face\u021bi o predic\u021bie specific\u0103 sau o serie de predic\u021bii care s\u0103 exprime ceea ce anticipa\u021bi c\u0103 se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla dac\u0103 ipoteza se dovede\u0219te a fi corect\u0103. Predic\u021bia dvs. trebuie s\u0103 poat\u0103 fi testat\u0103 prin experimentare sau observare \u0219i trebuie s\u0103 fie sus\u021binut\u0103 de un ra\u021bionament logic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        1. Testeaz\u0103-\u021bi predic\u021bia<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

          Efectua\u021bi experimente sau observa\u021bii pentru a v\u0103 verifica predic\u021bia. Obiectivul testului dumneavoastr\u0103 ar trebui s\u0103 fie confirmarea sau infirmarea ipotezei \u0219i predic\u021biei dumneavoastr\u0103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          1. Analiza\u021bi rezultatele<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

            Analiza\u021bi rezultatele testului pentru a determina dac\u0103 predic\u021bia dumneavoastr\u0103 a fost corect\u0103. Dac\u0103 predic\u021bia dvs. a fost sus\u021binut\u0103 de dovezi, pute\u021bi concluziona c\u0103 este probabil ca ipoteza dvs. s\u0103 fie adev\u0103rat\u0103. Dac\u0103 predic\u021bia dvs. nu a fost sus\u021binut\u0103, este posibil s\u0103 fie nevoie s\u0103 v\u0103 revizui\u021bi ipoteza \u0219i predic\u021bia \u0219i s\u0103 efectua\u021bi teste suplimentare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            Exemple de predic\u021bii \u0219tiin\u021bifice<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

            Predic\u021biile se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 \u00een aproape toate domeniile \u0219tiin\u021bei \u0219i, dintre acestea, cele mai importante pe care oamenii le urm\u0103resc p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent sunt:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            1.  Astronomie:<\/strong> Prevederea locului \u0219i a apari\u021biei unei eclipse solare pe baza mi\u0219c\u0103rii \u0219i pozi\u021biei Lunii \u0219i a P\u0103m\u00e2ntului.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            2.  Psihologie:<\/strong> Predic\u021bia c\u0103 persoanele care primesc feedback pozitiv vor avea o stim\u0103 de sine mai mare dec\u00e2t cele care primesc feedback negativ, pe baza cercet\u0103rilor \u0219i a teoriei anterioare.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            3. \u0218tiin\u021ba climei:<\/strong> Prevederea cre\u0219terii temperaturilor globale \u0219i a nivelului m\u0103rii ca urmare a emisiilor de gaze cu efect de ser\u0103 cauzate de om.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            4. Fizic\u0103: <\/strong>Prevederea traiectoriei unui proiectil, pe baza vitezei ini\u021biale, a unghiului de lansare \u0219i a rezisten\u021bei aerului.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            5. Ecologie<\/strong>: Prevederea impactului fragment\u0103rii habitatelor asupra pierderii biodiversit\u0103\u021bii, pe baza suprafe\u021bei habitatului fragmentat \u0219i a distribu\u021biei speciilor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            6. Chimie<\/strong>: Predic\u021bia rezultatului unei reac\u021bii chimice, pe baza reactan\u021bilor \u0219i a condi\u021biilor de reac\u021bie.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            7. Geologie<\/strong>: Predic\u021bia loca\u021biei \u0219i magnitudinii unui cutremur, pe baza activit\u0103\u021bii seismice istorice \u0219i a liniilor de falie dintr-o regiune.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            8. Biologie<\/strong>: Prevederea efectului unui medicament asupra unui pacient, pe baza structurii chimice a medicamentului \u0219i a mecanismelor biologice de ac\u021biune.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

              Predic\u021bia \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 ne permite s\u0103 facem previziuni precise, s\u0103 ne \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bim cuno\u0219tin\u021bele despre fenomenele \u0219i sistemele naturale \u0219i s\u0103 g\u0103sim solu\u021bii la probleme dificile. Pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce cuno\u0219tin\u021bele \u0219tiin\u021bifice continu\u0103 s\u0103 evolueze, capacitatea de a face previziuni precise bazate pe principii \u0219tiin\u021bifice va deveni din ce \u00een ce mai important\u0103 pentru a face fa\u021b\u0103 provoc\u0103rilor cu care se confrunt\u0103 lumea noastr\u0103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              Nu dori\u021bi s\u0103 v\u0103 \u00eencepe\u021bi infograficul de la zero?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

              Ei bine, v\u0103 \u00een\u021belegem durerea. \u00cen calitate de om de \u0219tiin\u021b\u0103, nu v\u0103 este u\u0219or s\u0103 v\u0103 redacta\u021bi singuri cercet\u0103rile \u0219i s\u0103 realiza\u021bi infografice. A\u0219a c\u0103 iat\u0103-ne aici cu o m\u00e2n\u0103 de ajutor. Cu Mind the Graph<\/a>, v\u0103 ajut\u0103m s\u0103 concepe\u021bi un infografic personalizat, totul de la zero, care s\u0103 se alinieze cu subiectul dumneavoastr\u0103. \u00censcrie\u021bi-v\u0103 acum pentru a v\u0103 preg\u0103ti infograficul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              <\/div>\n\n\n
              \n
              \"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n
              <\/div>\n\n\n\n
              \n
              \u00cencepe\u021bi s\u0103 crea\u021bi cu Mind the Graph<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
              <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

              Afla\u021bi \u00een detaliu despre predic\u021bia \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 \u0219i cum s\u0103 planifica\u021bi acest proces care analizeaz\u0103 \u00een avans teorii comune pe baza unor date predefinite.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":28573,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[959,28],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nScientific Prediction: A "guess" that can save us a lot of time - Mind the Graph Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/stiintific-predictie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scientific Prediction: A "guess" that can save us a lot of time\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/stiintific-predictie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mind the Graph Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-11T17:22:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-07-11T20:29:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/scientific-prediction-blog.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1124\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"613\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Sowjanya Pedada\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Scientific Prediction: A "guess" that can save us a lot of time\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/scientific-prediction-blog.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Sowjanya Pedada\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Scientific Prediction: A \"guess\" that can save us a lot of time - Mind the Graph Blog","description":"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/stiintific-predictie\/","og_locale":"ro_RO","og_type":"article","og_title":"Scientific Prediction: A \"guess\" that can save us a lot of time","og_description":"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.","og_url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/stiintific-predictie\/","og_site_name":"Mind the Graph Blog","article_published_time":"2023-07-11T17:22:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-07-11T20:29:51+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1124,"height":613,"url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/scientific-prediction-blog.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Sowjanya Pedada","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Scientific Prediction: A \"guess\" that can save us a lot of time","twitter_description":"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.","twitter_image":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/scientific-prediction-blog.png","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Sowjanya Pedada","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/scientific-prediction\/","url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/scientific-prediction\/","name":"Scientific Prediction: A \"guess\" that can save us a lot of time - Mind the Graph Blog","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#website"},"datePublished":"2023-07-11T17:22:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-07-11T20:29:51+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/1809367ac22d998ef1780e61c942bd9e"},"description":"Learn in detail about scientific prediction and how to plan this process that analyzes common theories in advance based on predefined data.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/scientific-prediction\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"ro-RO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/scientific-prediction\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/scientific-prediction\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Scientific Prediction: A “guess” that can save us a lot of time"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/","name":"Mind the Graph Blog","description":"Your science can be beautiful!","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"ro-RO"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/1809367ac22d998ef1780e61c942bd9e","name":"Sowjanya Pedada","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"ro-RO","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/5498cb1111b92c813c76ae76ad5b1dd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/5498cb1111b92c813c76ae76ad5b1dd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Sowjanya Pedada"},"description":"Sowjanya is a passionate writer and an avid reader. She holds MBA in Agribusiness Management and now is working as a content writer. She loves to play with words and hopes to make a difference in the world through her writings. Apart from writing, she is interested in reading fiction novels and doing craftwork. She also loves to travel and explore different cuisines and spend time with her family and friends.","url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/author\/sowjanya\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28571"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/33"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28571"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28571\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28577,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28571\/revisions\/28577"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28573"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28571"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}