{"id":11022,"date":"2020-03-23T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-23T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11022"},"modified":"2022-11-24T12:29:07","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T15:29:07","slug":"the-impact-of-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/impactul-coronavirusului-covid-19-pandemy\/","title":{"rendered":"Puterea izol\u0103rii sociale de a reduce impactul pandemiei de coronavirus Covid-19"},"content":{"rendered":"

P\u0103strarea unei anumite distan\u021be este cea mai bun\u0103 m\u0103sur\u0103 pe care o putem lua pentru a preveni transmiterea viral\u0103 prin c\u0103ile respiratorii.<\/p>\n

Oamenii transmit altor persoane \u00een timp ce vorbesc, \u00ee\u0219i adulmec\u0103 nasul, str\u0103nut\u0103 sau dau m\u00e2na. Unii spun c\u0103 doi metri (2m) este distan\u021ba la care ar trebui s\u0103 ne \u021binem la distan\u021b\u0103 de ceilal\u021bi ca m\u0103sur\u0103 de prevenire.<\/p>\n

Imaginea de mai jos a fost publicat \u00een New York Times, adapt\u00e2nd date de la Centrul pentru Controlul Bolilor (CDC)<\/a> din Statele Unite. Simplu spus, arat\u0103 cum m\u0103surile de protec\u021bie, cum ar fi izolarea social\u0103 \u0219i purtarea de m\u0103\u0219ti, pot \"aplatiza\" curba \u0219i, prin urmare, teoretic, pot inhiba \"v\u00e2rful\" num\u0103rului de cazuri.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u00cen ciuda faptului c\u0103 num\u0103rul total de cazuri este exact acela\u0219i, aplatizarea curbei \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 sistemul de s\u0103n\u0103tate nu va fi supra\u00eenc\u0103rcat, iar \u0219ansa de a vindeca persoanele infectate care beneficiaz\u0103 de un sprijin adecvat \u00eentr-o unitate de terapie intensiv\u0103 este mai mare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nu conteaz\u0103 c\u00e2t de preg\u0103tit\u0103 este o \u021bar\u0103 \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te num\u0103rul de paturi, nimeni nu este preg\u0103tit pentru o epidemie ca aceasta. Practic, nu s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat niciodat\u0103. \u0218i cel mai r\u0103u lucru \u00een cazul coronavirusului Covid-19 este c\u0103 chiar \u0219i persoanele f\u0103r\u0103 simptome o pot transmite<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Documentul C.D.C. intitulat \"Orient\u0103ri de atenuare a efectelor comunitare pentru prevenirea gripei pandemice<\/a>,\" a ar\u0103tat ceea ce Dr. Harris a numit dou\u0103 curbe epi. Una avea un v\u00e2rf abrupt, indic\u00e2nd o cre\u0219tere brusc\u0103 a focarului de coronavirus pe termen scurt; cealalt\u0103 avea o pant\u0103 mai lin\u0103, indic\u00e2nd o rat\u0103 mai gradual\u0103 de infectare pe o perioad\u0103 mai lung\u0103 de timp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Curba mai bl\u00e2nd\u0103 are ca rezultat un num\u0103r mai mic de persoane infectate \u00een acest moment critic - prevenind un val care ar inunda sistemul de s\u0103n\u0103tate \u0219i, \u00een cele din urm\u0103, se sper\u0103 c\u0103 va duce la mai pu\u021bine decese. Pentru o analiz\u0103 mai detaliat\u0103, a se vedea o lucrare recent\u0103 din The Lancet<\/a>, \"Cum vor influen\u021ba m\u0103surile de atenuare la nivel na\u021bional evolu\u021bia epidemiei COVID-19?\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Modul \u00een care se r\u0103sp\u00e2nde\u0219te acest fenomen ne pune la \u00eencercare capacitatea de a prezice urm\u0103torii pa\u0219i, deoarece nu suntem obi\u0219nui\u021bi cu g\u00e2ndirea exponen\u021bial\u0103. Infograficul de mai jos ne ajut\u0103 s\u0103 \u00een\u021belegem ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 s\u0103 stai departe de alte persoane pentru o perioad\u0103 de timp \u00eenseamn\u0103. Aceast\u0103 m\u0103sur\u0103 inten\u021bioneaz\u0103 s\u0103 reduc\u0103 \"indicele de transmitere\" al virusului de la aproape \"trei\" la mai pu\u021bin de unu. Consulta\u021bi imaginea de mai jos pentru a \u00een\u021belege efectul de contagiune pe care \u00eel are \u00een 5 zile \u0219i 30 de zile.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"
Afla\u021bi cum s\u0103 v\u0103 imagina\u021bi progresia exponen\u021bial\u0103 a evolu\u021biei coronavirusului \u0219i cum izolarea social\u0103 poate contribui la reducerea transmiterii bolii. Mai mult dec\u00e2t at\u00e2t, sta\u021bi acas\u0103, familia \u0219i prietenii apropia\u021bi sunt considera\u021bi unul dintre cele mai importante clustere pentru contaminare<\/a> \u00een afar\u0103 de serviciile de s\u0103n\u0103tate \u0219i spitale.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Dac\u0103 transmiterea viral\u0103 a coronavirusului \u00ee\u0219i urmeaz\u0103 cursul natural, \u00een 5 zile o persoan\u0103 va transmite Covid-19 la alte 2,5 persoane. Mai departe, acelea\u0219i 2,5 persoane vor fi afectat un total de 406 persoane. Aceasta este o progresie exponen\u021bial\u0103. Este uria\u0219\u0103. Dac\u0103 reducem rata de transmitere la jum\u0103tate, \u00eenseamn\u0103 doar 15 persoane afectate dup\u0103 30 de zile. Nu este nevoie de mult pentru a \u00een\u021belege impactul pozitiv pe care acest lucru \u00eel are asupra presiunii asupra sistemului de s\u0103n\u0103tate.<\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 dori\u021bi s\u0103 citi\u021bi o explica\u021bie foarte detaliat\u0103 despre cum func\u021bioneaz\u0103 acest tip de m\u0103sur\u0103 \u0219i de ce are impact, v\u0103 recomand\u0103m s\u0103 citi\u021bi aceast\u0103 postare<\/a>. Dac\u0103 sunte\u021bi \u00eengrijorat de faptul c\u0103 izolarea social\u0103 poate afecta unele persoane care nu sunt stabile emo\u021bional sau care au probleme de s\u0103n\u0103tate anterioare, ei bine, ave\u021bi dreptate. conform acestui interesant articol de opinie de pe Science<\/a>. Este o dilem\u0103 de genul \"oul sau g\u0103ina\", dar izolarea social\u0103 este ceva ce ar trebui s\u0103 facem \u00een mod cert \u00een acest moment. Cel mai bun sfat este s\u0103 g\u0103si\u021bi ceva de f\u0103cut, s\u0103 v\u0103 distrage\u021bi aten\u021bia \u0219i s\u0103 \u00eencerca\u021bi s\u0103 p\u0103stra\u021bi leg\u0103tura cu ai vo\u0219tri.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00cen ciuda faptului c\u0103 num\u0103rul total de cazuri este exact acela\u0219i, aplatizarea curbei \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 sistemul de s\u0103n\u0103tate nu va fi supra\u00eenc\u0103rcat, iar \u0219ansa de a vindeca persoanele infectate care beneficiaz\u0103 de un sprijin adecvat \u00eentr-o unitate de terapie intensiv\u0103 este mai mare. Nu conteaz\u0103 c\u00e2t de preg\u0103tit\u0103 este o \u021bar\u0103 din punct de vedere al num\u0103rului de paturi, [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419,66,958],"tags":[388,387,423,421,422,51,53,250,424,420],"yoast_head":"\nThe power of social isolation in reducing impact of Covid-19<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Keep some distance is the best measure one can take to prevent viral transmission through the respiratory pathways.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/ro\/impactul-coronavirusului-covid-19-pandemy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The power 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