{"id":11109,"date":"2020-04-08T08:35:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-08T11:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11109"},"modified":"2022-07-21T12:23:18","modified_gmt":"2022-07-21T15:23:18","slug":"coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u015amiertelno\u015b\u0107 koronawirusa: czy wska\u017anik zgon\u00f3w wynosi 8 czy 0,8% we W\u0142oszech?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Liczby dotycz\u0105ce \u015bmiertelno\u015bci koronawirusa r\u00f3\u017cni\u0105 si\u0119 dramatycznie. Podczas gdy we W\u0142oszech w\u0142adze zg\u0142osi\u0142y \u015bmiertelno\u015b\u0107 na poziomie oko\u0142o 8-9%, Niemcy i Japonia zg\u0142osi\u0142y liczby bli\u017csze 1-2%.<\/p>\n<p>Dlaczego tak si\u0119 dzieje?<\/p>\n<p>Dzisiejszy raport liczbowy to nieco ponad 6 tys. zgon\u00f3w na 64 tys. potwierdzonych zaka\u017ce\u0144 koronawirusem. To wska\u017anik \u015bmiertelno\u015bci na poziomie 9,3%. Do\u015b\u0107 wysoki, niepokoj\u0105cy.<\/p>\n<p>Jednak Japonia zg\u0142osi\u0142a 33 zgony na oko\u0142o 1 tys. przypadk\u00f3w (wska\u017anik \u015bmiertelno\u015bci 3,3%), a Niemcy zg\u0142osi\u0142y tylko 159 zgon\u00f3w w blisko 34 tys. potwierdzonych przypadk\u00f3w... czekaj, to tylko 0,5% wska\u017anika \u015bmiertelno\u015bci.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"721\" height=\"595\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11112\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254.png 721w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254-300x248.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\" \/><figcaption>Sze\u015b\u0107 razy mniej ni\u017c Japonia i prawie 20 razy mniej ni\u017c W\u0142ochy. Co Niemcy robi\u0105 inaczej?<br> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p> Mam ju\u017c swoj\u0105 opini\u0119, ale om\u00f3wmy wszystkie dost\u0119pne teorie:<br> &nbsp;1) Najbardziej oczywiste: system opieki zdrowotnej w Niemczech jest lepiej wyposa\u017cony<br> 2) Niemcy stosuj\u0105 innowacyjne metody leczenia<br> 3) Niemcy s\u0105 wci\u0105\u017c na pocz\u0105tku epidemii, wi\u0119c nie by\u0142o \"wystarczaj\u0105co du\u017co czasu\", aby wska\u017anik \u015bmiertelno\u015bci si\u0119 ustabilizowa\u0142.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I mniej oczywiste: po prostu testuj\u0105 wi\u0119cej os\u00f3b. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jak du\u017cy ma to wp\u0142yw? Co najmniej dziesi\u0119ciokrotnie. Testuj\u0105 dziesi\u0119\u0107 razy wi\u0119cej ludzi i to w\u0142a\u015bnie obni\u017ca wska\u017anik \u015bmiertelno\u015bci:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Wska\u017aniki infekcji s\u0105 prawdopodobnie 10 razy ni\u017csze<\/li><li>\u015amiertelno\u015b\u0107 jest prawdopodobnie 10 razy ni\u017csza<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Po prostu nie mamy dok\u0142adnego oszacowania ca\u0142kowitej liczby os\u00f3b dotkni\u0119tych chorob\u0105, poniewa\u017c u wielu z nich nie rozwijaj\u0105 si\u0119 objawy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Najprostsze wyja\u015bnienie jest cz\u0119sto w\u0142a\u015bciwe. W nauce nazywa si\u0119 to brzytw\u0105 Okama... i jest to do\u015b\u0107 proste wyja\u015bnienie tej rozbie\u017cno\u015bci w liczbach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Liczba ta jest r\u00f3wnie\u017c bli\u017csza \"percepcji\" pracownik\u00f3w s\u0142u\u017cby zdrowia na pierwszej linii frontu. Proporcjonalnie, niewiele os\u00f3b umiera z powodu zaka\u017cenia koronawirusem - wi\u0119c nie jest to a\u017c tak powa\u017cne - jednak liczby s\u0105 wysokie, poniewa\u017c wirusowo\u015b\u0107 jest wy\u017csza ni\u017c ta, do kt\u00f3rej jeste\u015bmy przyzwyczajeni w przypadku chor\u00f3b uk\u0142adu oddechowego.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"494\" height=\"453\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255.png 494w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255-300x275.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 494px) 100vw, 494px\" \/><figcaption>Niemcy w rzeczywisto\u015bci aktywnie testuj\u0105 ludzi, nawet je\u015bli nie wykazuj\u0105 objaw\u00f3w. To jedyny spos\u00f3b na dok\u0142adne oszacowanie wska\u017anika zaka\u017ce\u0144 w populacji.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Je\u015bli mia\u0142bym powiedzie\u0107 jedno zdanie, to by\u0142oby to: nie panikuj.  Te czasy si\u0119 sko\u0144czy\u0142y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Staraj si\u0119 zapobiega\u0107 infekcjom, myj r\u0119ce, utrzymuj system odporno\u015bciowy w dobrej kondycji i to wszystko. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prawdopodobie\u0144stwo \u015bmiertelnej przyczyny jest niskie, je\u015bli dost\u0119pna jest odpowiednia opieka krytyczna. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Leczenie jest w toku, b\u0119dziemy mie\u0107 szczepionki na nast\u0119pny rok i ca\u0142a ta sprawa minie. Za\u0142o\u017c\u0119 si\u0119, \u017ce infekcja koronawirusem nie b\u0119dzie popularnym tematem na nast\u0119pnym przyj\u0119ciu urodzinowym.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mam ju\u017c swoj\u0105 opini\u0119, ale om\u00f3wmy wszystkie dost\u0119pne teorie:  1) Najbardziej oczywista: system opieki zdrowotnej w Niemczech jest lepiej wyposa\u017cony 2) Niemcy stosuj\u0105 innowacyjne metody leczenia 3) Niemcy s\u0105 wci\u0105\u017c na pocz\u0105tku epidemii, wi\u0119c nie by\u0142o \"wystarczaj\u0105co du\u017co czasu\", aby wska\u017anik \u015bmiertelno\u015bci si\u0119 ustabilizowa\u0142 I [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11111,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419],"tags":[388,444,443,445,447,446,448,449],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? Follow me, I got the keys.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pl_PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? Follow me, I got the keys.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mind the Graph Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-04-08T11:35:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-07-21T15:23:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-253.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"548\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"398\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Fabricio Pamplona\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Fabricio Pamplona\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog","description":"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? Follow me, I got the keys.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/","og_locale":"pl_PL","og_type":"article","og_title":"Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog","og_description":"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? Follow me, I got the keys.","og_url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/","og_site_name":"Mind the Graph Blog","article_published_time":"2020-04-08T11:35:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-07-21T15:23:18+00:00","og_image":[{"width":548,"height":398,"url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-253.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Fabricio Pamplona","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Fabricio Pamplona","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/","url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/","name":"Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#website"},"datePublished":"2020-04-08T11:35:00+00:00","dateModified":"2022-07-21T15:23:18+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/c8eaee6d8007ac319523c3ddc98cedd3"},"description":"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? Follow me, I got the keys.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"pl-PL","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Coronavirus lethality: is the death rate 8 or 0.8% in Italy?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/","name":"Mind the Graph Blog","description":"Your science can be beautiful!","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"pl-PL"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/c8eaee6d8007ac319523c3ddc98cedd3","name":"Fabricio Pamplona","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pl-PL","@id":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/da6985d9f20ecb24f3238df103a638ac?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/da6985d9f20ecb24f3238df103a638ac?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Fabricio Pamplona"},"description":"Fabricio Pamplona is the founder of Mind the Graph - a tool used by over 400K users in 60 countries. He has a Ph.D. and solid scientific background in Psychopharmacology and experience as a Guest Researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Psychiatry (Germany) and Researcher in D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR, Brazil). Fabricio holds over 2500 citations in Google Scholar. He has 10 years of experience in small innovative businesses, with relevant experience in product design and innovation management. Connect with him on LinkedIn - Fabricio Pamplona.","sameAs":["http:\/\/mindthegraph.com","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/fabriciopamplona"],"url":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/author\/fabricio\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11109"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11109"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11109\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16036,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11109\/revisions\/16036"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11111"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}