{"id":11022,"date":"2020-03-23T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-23T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11022"},"modified":"2022-11-24T12:29:07","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T15:29:07","slug":"the-impact-of-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/nb\/virkningen-av-koronavirus-covid-19-pandemien\/","title":{"rendered":"Kraften i sosial isolasjon for \u00e5 redusere virkningen av koronaviruset Covid-19 pandemi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c5 holde avstand er det beste tiltaket man kan gj\u00f8re for \u00e5 forhindre virusoverf\u00f8ring via luftveiene.<\/p>\n

Folk smitter hverandre n\u00e5r de snakker, snuser i nesen, nyser eller h\u00e5ndhilser. Noen sier at to meter (2m) er avstanden vi b\u00f8r holde andre unna som et forebyggende tiltak.<\/p>\n

Bildet nedenfor ble publisert i New York Times, basert p\u00e5 data fra Center for Disease Control (CDC).<\/a> fra USA. Enkelt sagt viser det hvordan beskyttende tiltak, som sosial isolasjon og bruk av masker, kan \"flate ut\" kurven og derfor teoretisk sett hemme \"toppen\" i antall tilfeller.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Til tross for at det totale antallet tilfeller er n\u00f8yaktig det samme, betyr en utflating av kurven at helsevesenet ikke blir overbelastet, og at sjansen for \u00e5 helbrede smittede personer med riktig st\u00f8tte p\u00e5 en intensivavdeling er st\u00f8rre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uansett hvor forberedt et land er n\u00e5r det gjelder antall senger, er ingen forberedt p\u00e5 en epidemi som denne. I utgangspunktet skjedde det aldri. Og det verste med koronaviruset Covid-19 er at selv personer uten symptomer kan v\u00e6re smitteb\u00e6rere<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C.D.C.-dokumentet med tittelen \"Retningslinjer for forebygging av pandemisk influensa i samfunnet<\/a>viste det Dr. Harris kalte to epi-kurver. Den ene hadde en bratt topp som indikerte en kraftig \u00f8kning i koronavirusutbruddet p\u00e5 kort sikt, mens den andre hadde en flatere helning, noe som indikerte en mer gradvis infeksjon over en lengre tidsperiode.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den mildere kurven resulterer i f\u00e6rre smittede p\u00e5 dette kritiske tidspunktet - noe som forhindrer en b\u00f8lge som ville oversv\u00f8mme helsevesenet, og til syvende og sist, h\u00e5per man, resulterer i f\u00e6rre d\u00f8dsfall. For en mer detaljert analyse, se en nylig publisert artikkel i The Lancet.<\/a>\"Hvordan vil landbaserte tiltak p\u00e5virke forl\u00f8pet av covid-19-epidemien?\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The way this phenomenon is spreading challenges our ability to predict the next steps, because we are not used to exponential thinking. The infographic below helps us to understand what it means to stay away from other people for some time means. This measure intends to reduce the “transmission index” of the virus from nearly “three” to less than one. Check the image below to understand the carry-on effect it has in 5 days and 30 days.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
L\u00e6r hvordan du kan forestille deg en eksponentiell utvikling av koronaviruset, og hvordan sosial isolasjon kan bidra til \u00e5 redusere smittespredningen. Mer enn det, hold deg hjemme, familie og n\u00e6re venner regnes som en av de viktigste klyngene for forurensning.<\/a> bortsett fra helsetjenester og sykehus.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Hvis smitten av koronaviruset f\u00f8lger sitt naturlige forl\u00f8p, vil \u00e9n person i l\u00f8pet av fem dager sannsynligvis smitte 2,5 andre personer med covid-19. Fremover vil de samme 2,5 personene ha p\u00e5virket totalt 406 personer. Det er eksponentiell progresjon. Det er enormt. Hvis vi kutter smitteraten til halvparten, betyr det at bare 15 personer er ber\u00f8rt etter 30 dager. Det skal ikke mye til for \u00e5 forst\u00e5 den positive effekten dette har p\u00e5 presset p\u00e5 helsesystemet.<\/p>\n

Hvis du vil lese en sv\u00e6rt detaljert forklaring p\u00e5 hvordan denne typen tiltak fungerer og hvorfor de har betydning, Vi anbefaler at du leser dette innlegget<\/a>. Hvis du er bekymret for at sosial isolasjon kan p\u00e5virke noen mennesker som ikke er emosjonelt stabile, eller som har tidligere helseproblemer, har du ogs\u00e5 rett if\u00f8lge dette interessante debattinnlegget p\u00e5 Science<\/a>. Det er litt \"h\u00f8na eller egget\"-dilemma, men sosial isolasjon er noe vi definitivt b\u00f8r gj\u00f8re i denne tiden. Det beste tipset er \u00e5 finne p\u00e5 noe \u00e5 gj\u00f8re, distrahere deg selv og pr\u00f8ve \u00e5 holde kontakten med foreldrene dine.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Til tross for at det totale antallet tilfeller er n\u00f8yaktig det samme, betyr en utflating av kurven at helsevesenet ikke blir overbelastet, og at sjansen for \u00e5 kurere smittede personer ved \u00e5 gi riktig st\u00f8tte p\u00e5 en intensivavdeling er st\u00f8rre. Det spiller ingen rolle hvor godt forberedt et land er n\u00e5r det gjelder antall senger, [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419,66,958],"tags":[388,387,423,421,422,51,53,250,424,420],"yoast_head":"\nThe power of social isolation in reducing impact of Covid-19<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Keep some distance is the best measure one can take to prevent viral transmission through the respiratory pathways.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/nb\/virkningen-av-koronavirus-covid-19-pandemien\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nb_NO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The power of social isolation in 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