{"id":11109,"date":"2020-04-08T08:35:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-08T11:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/?p=11109"},"modified":"2022-07-21T12:23:18","modified_gmt":"2022-07-21T15:23:18","slug":"coronavirus-lethality-is-the-death-rate-8-or-0-8-in-italy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/et\/coronavirus-letality-is-the-death-rate-8-voi-0-8-in-italy\/","title":{"rendered":"Koronaviiruse letaalsus: kas Itaalias on surmajuhtumite arv 8 v\u00f5i 0,8%?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Koronaviiruse letaalsuse kohta k\u00e4ivad numbrid erinevad oluliselt. Kui Itaalias teatasid ametiasutused suremusn\u00e4itajatest umbes 8-9%, siis Saksamaal ja Jaapanis oli suremusn\u00e4itaja pigem 1-2%.<\/p>\n<p>Miks see juhtub?<\/p>\n<p>T\u00e4nane numbriaruanne oli veidi \u00fcle 6K surmajuhtumi 64K kinnitatud koronaviirusnakkuse kohta. See on suremus 9,3%. \u00dcsna k\u00f5rge, murettekitav.<\/p>\n<p>Jaapan teatas aga 33 surmajuhtumist ~1K juhtudest (3,3% suremus) ja Saksamaa teatas ainult 159 surmajuhtumist ligi 34K kinnitatud juhtudest... oota, see on ainult 0,5% suremus.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"721\" height=\"595\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11112\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254.png 721w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-254-300x248.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\" \/><figcaption>Kuus korda madalam kui Jaapanis ja peaaegu 20 korda madalam kui Itaalias. Mida teeb Saksamaa teisiti?<br> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p> Mul on juba oma arvamus, aga katame k\u00f5ik olemasolevad teooriad:<br> &nbsp;1) K\u00f5ige ilmsem: Saksamaa tervishoius\u00fcsteem on paremini varustatud<br> 2) Sakslased kasutavad uuenduslikke ravimeetodeid.<br> 3) Saksamaa on veel puhangu algusaegadel, seega ei olnud \"piisavalt aega\", et suremus stabiliseeruks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ja v\u00e4hem ilmne: nad lihtsalt testivad rohkem inimesi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kui palju see m\u00f5jutab? V\u00e4hemalt KAKS korda. Nad testivad k\u00fcmme korda rohkem inimesi, ja see toob suremuse nii alla, nii et tegelikkuses:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Infektsioonim\u00e4\u00e4rad on t\u00f5en\u00e4oliselt 10 korda madalamad<\/li><li>Suremus on t\u00f5en\u00e4oliselt 10 korda v\u00e4iksem<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Meil lihtsalt ei ole t\u00e4pset hinnangut haigestunute koguarvu kohta, sest paljudel neist ei teki s\u00fcmptomeid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u00f5ige lihtsam selgitus on sageli \u00f5ige. Teaduses nimetatakse seda Okam Razoriks... ja see on \u00fcsna lihtne seletus sellele numbrite lahknevusele.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Samuti on see arv l\u00e4hemal rindejoonel olevate tervishoiut\u00f6\u00f6tajate \"arusaamale\". Proportsionaalselt ei sure palju inimesi koronaviirusnakkuse t\u00f5ttu - seega mitte nii t\u00f5siselt -, kuid arvud on k\u00f5rged, sest viiruslikkus on suurem kui see, millega me oleme harjunud hingamisteede haiguste puhul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"494\" height=\"453\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mindthegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255.png 494w, https:\/\/mindthegraph.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image-255-300x275.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 494px) 100vw, 494px\" \/><figcaption>Sakslased testivad tegelikult aktiivselt inimesi, isegi kui nad ei esita s\u00fcmptomeid. See on ainus v\u00f5imalus saada t\u00e4pne hinnang nakatumise m\u00e4\u00e4ra kohta elanikkonnas.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Kui mul oleks siinkohal \u00fcks lause \u00f6elda, siis see oleks: \u00e4rge paanitsege.  Need ajad on m\u00f6\u00f6das.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>P\u00fc\u00fcdke v\u00e4ltida nakatumist, peske k\u00e4si, hoidke immuuns\u00fcsteem h\u00e4sti h\u00e4\u00e4lestatud ja see on k\u00f5ik. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kui on olemas piisav kriitiline ravi, on surmaga l\u00f5ppeva surma t\u00f5en\u00e4osus v\u00e4ike. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u00e4imas on ravi, meil on j\u00e4rgmisel aastal vaktsiinid ja kogu see asi l\u00e4heb \u00fcle. Vean kihla, et koronaviirusnakkus ei ole trendi teemaks j\u00e4rgmisel s\u00fcnnip\u00e4evapeol.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mul on juba oma arvamus, aga katame k\u00f5ik olemasolevad teooriad:  1) K\u00f5ige ilmsem: Saksamaa tervishoius\u00fcsteem on paremini varustatud 2) Sakslased kasutavad uuenduslikke ravimeetodeid 3) Saksamaa on veel puhangu algusaegadel, seega ei olnud \"piisavalt aega\", et suremus stabiliseeruks Ja [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11111,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[419],"tags":[388,444,443,445,447,446,448,449],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Coronvairus lethality: 8 or 0.8% in Italy? - See the blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Coronavirus lethality differ dramatically between countries.Italy reports 8-9%, while Germany and reported less than 1-2%.Why? 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He has a Ph.D. and solid scientific background in Psychopharmacology and experience as a Guest Researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Psychiatry (Germany) and Researcher in D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR, Brazil). Fabricio holds over 2500 citations in Google Scholar. He has 10 years of experience in small innovative businesses, with relevant experience in product design and innovation management. 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